Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1713.590415 1871.234620 2031.669080 2206.879338 2392.555396 2583.180903 2793.398019
2025-03-16 1434.406518 1664.873146 1909.225802 2186.461647 2491.133735 2814.647956 3183.016114
2025-03-23 1303.456849 1580.934965 1883.819747 2236.650996 2634.015298 3065.414353 3566.850793
2025-03-30 1183.674737 1492.293240 1837.797687 2249.414542 2722.561277 3245.662475 3863.890074
2025-04-06 1080.668525 1411.632375 1790.749975 2251.532804 2790.767860 3396.368015 4122.313860
2025-04-13 954.484240 1293.198030 1690.369557 2182.858177 2769.467762 3438.411352 4251.288847
2025-04-20 918.255538 1279.635274 1711.013164 2254.028503 2909.349236 3665.060125 4592.498293
2025-04-27 869.955428 1247.030488 1705.200427 2290.522150 3005.933402 3839.860949 4872.975954
2025-05-04 808.768184 1193.828469 1670.332856 2288.288394 3053.299907 3954.647230 5081.725044
2025-05-11 747.430120 1136.425483 1626.683248 2271.969803 3080.841903 4043.786816 5258.684377
2025-05-18 705.522618 1101.894514 1609.735308 2287.025541 3145.374017 4176.482790 5487.463832
2025-05-25 656.903392 1055.353789 1574.698851 2276.801341 3176.610848 4267.448123 5665.183092
2025-06-01 628.280379 1035.402970 1574.263692 2311.547233 3265.752056 4431.754461 5935.854126
2025-06-08 580.124625 985.447054 1531.734220 2289.713503 3281.870022 4505.328786 6095.641257
2025-06-15 562.720715 978.151145 1545.765824 2341.600954 3392.060535 4696.091867 6400.604799
2025-06-22 533.121029 951.320745 1531.614650 2354.784982 3451.461823 4822.927392 6626.572964
2025-06-29 502.018659 920.426366 1510.277175 2356.973262 3495.573294 4929.974701 6827.873930
2025-07-06 449.920119 854.688342 1437.151719 2286.020757 3441.137816 4909.874399 6868.013572
2025-07-13 445.730260 862.617139 1468.960034 2359.551352 3578.784423 5136.332332 7220.841312
2025-07-20 431.168638 853.336303 1475.262370 2397.246774 3668.489845 5301.453680 7496.710978
2025-07-27 406.080990 825.808068 1453.728714 2394.939620 3703.689218 5395.769229 7682.475511
2025-08-03 378.659310 792.870158 1422.796062 2378.084184 3718.193153 5462.546625 7832.748274
2025-08-10 361.494419 775.944615 1415.013613 2393.635263 3776.550589 5586.644697 8057.153943